Avellino 0-1 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Jan 2024

Avellino
0-1 HT 0-0
Sorrento Calcio
📅29/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Avellino vs Sorrento Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.52
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avellino v Sorrento Calcio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.29/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.20
-26% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Avellino vs Sorrento Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
21.09.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC

Avellino 0-1 Sorrento Calcio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
0-1
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio nicked a narrow win over Avellino 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Avellino at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Avellino had 64% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 36%, shots finished 16-2.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Sorrento Calcio?

Avellino 0-1 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Avellino 51%, draw 27%, Sorrento Calcio 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avellino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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