Juventus (K) 2-2 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.7pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.7pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
454 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus (K)
2-2
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.63 xG 1.15
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
488 Passes 184
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
44 Box Touches 21
32 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) and Fiorentina (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Juventus (K) carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Juventus (K) had 68% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 32%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.63 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Juventus (K) 2-2 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 60%, draw 16%, Fiorentina (K) 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Juventus (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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