CEOV Operario 2-1 Mixto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Matogrossense, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CEOV Operario The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixto The Market 22%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.43/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.00
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CEOV Operario
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mixto
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.01.2023 Mixto Mixto 1-2 HT 0-1 CEOV Operario CEOV Operario BRMAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CEOV Operario
2-1
AWAY Mixto
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH CEOV Operario vs Mixto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CEOV Operario nicked a narrow win over Mixto 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CEOV Operario as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CEOV Operario had 48% of the ball to Mixto's 52%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of CEOV Operario vs Mixto?

CEOV Operario 2-1 Mixto in the Brazil - Matogrossense on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CEOV Operario vs Mixto?

Before kick-off our model rated a CEOV Operario win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CEOV Operario 46%, draw 26%, Mixto 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CEOV Operario) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CEOV Operario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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