Retro 2-0 Central SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Pernambucano 1, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No Pick
66%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
42%
4-5
17%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Retro The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Central SC The Market 18%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.01/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.01
+33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Retro
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Central SC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2023 Retro Retro 2-0 HT 1-0 Central SC Central SC BRPER1
04.04.2021 Central SC Central SC 1-4 HT 0-2 Retro Retro BRPER1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Retro
2-0
AWAY Central SC
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Retro vs Central SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Retro beat Central SC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Retro as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Retro had 44% of the ball to Central SC's 56%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Retro had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Retro and 0.50 for Central SC.

What was the final score of Retro vs Central SC?

Retro 2-0 Central SC in the Brazil - Pernambucano 1 on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Retro vs Central SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Retro win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Retro 53%, draw 21%, Central SC 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Retro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Retro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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