Brezilya U23 vs Ekvador U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brezilya U23 v Ekvador U23 — Team-Based Signals
Brezilya U23 2-1 Ekvador U23 — Actual Match Statistics
Brezilya U23 nicked a narrow win over Ekvador U23 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Brezilya U23 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Brezilya U23 had 61% of the ball to Ekvador U23's 39%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.92 to 0.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brezilya U23's control.
What was the final score of Brezilya U23 vs Ekvador U23?
Brezilya U23 2-1 Ekvador U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brezilya U23 vs Ekvador U23?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brezilya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Brezilya U23 48%, draw 28%, Ekvador U23 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya U23), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.