Juventud Copalera 3-0 Democracia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.5pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.3pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud Copalera The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Democracia The Market 23%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Juventud Copalera vs Democracia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud Copalera swept aside Democracia 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventud Copalera as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Juventud Copalera vs Democracia?

Juventud Copalera 3-0 Democracia in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud Copalera vs Democracia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud Copalera win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Juventud Copalera 47%, draw 28%, Democracia 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventud Copalera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventud Copalera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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GUAP More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
29 Jan 2024
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