Al Hilal Riyadh 4-3 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.94
Over 2.5
54%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.24
No
40%
3.59
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.82
2-3 Goals
37%
2.4
4-5 Goals
29%
2.34
6+ Goals
12%
3.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.6pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
22%
+23.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
78%
-23.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
76%
-16.5pp
40%
BTTS No
24%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 37%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
50.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4-3
AWAY Inter Miami
2.04 xG 2.01
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
545 Passes 284
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh edged past Inter Miami 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Al Hilal Riyadh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 64% of the ball to Inter Miami's 36%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.04 to 2.01.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Inter Miami?

Al Hilal Riyadh 4-3 Inter Miami in the Friendlies on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 38%, draw 31%, Inter Miami 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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