PSV II 1-1 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
29%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.46
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
20.05
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
11%
10.65
X/2
18%
3.98
X/X
7%
6.36
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
22%
1.95
2/X
6%
15.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.05 — our 13% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.4pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 62%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.04/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.76
+14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
13.2 Crosses 25.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Willem II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
433 Passes 382
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
30.01.2023 PSV II PSV II 3-2 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
05.08.2022 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
17.03.2014 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
08.09.2013 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
1-1
AWAY Willem II
1.47 xG 2.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
471 Passes 357
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 23
5 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ PSV II vs Willem II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

PSV II and Willem II shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29 Jan 2024. Half-time: 0-0.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, PSV II had 55% of the ball to Willem II's 45%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.47 to 2.07.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Willem II lead the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for PSV II and 2.00 for Willem II.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Willem II?

PSV II 1-1 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split PSV II 28%, draw 20%, Willem II 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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