29/01/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Aswan FC vs Proxy Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
26%
Draw
28%
33%
Away Win
33%
63%
Under 2.5
56%
37%
Over 2.5
44%
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
62%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aswan FC v Proxy — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Aswan FC
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Proxy
EU Bookmakers 37%
+21% /
+21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-35%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
295 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Aswan FC vs Proxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Proxy squeezed past Aswan FC 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Aswan FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Aswan FC vs Proxy?
Aswan FC 0-1 Proxy in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aswan FC vs Proxy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aswan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aswan FC 41%, draw 26%, Proxy 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aswan FC) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Aswan FC)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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MSR2
More Egypt - 2nd Division
29 Jan 2024