29/01/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Makadi vs Petrojet Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
25%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
28%
Draw
27%
45%
Away Win
54%
62%
Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
60%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Makadi v Petrojet — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Makadi
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Petrojet
EU Bookmakers 57%
+14% /
+14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+24% /
+24%
0.65/0.66
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.33/0.33
+4%
/
+119%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+19%
/
+34%
42%
Ball Possession
58%
8
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
6
221 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
381 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Makadi vs Petrojet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Petrojet squeezed past Makadi 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Petrojet as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Makadi vs Petrojet?
Makadi 0-1 Petrojet in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Makadi vs Petrojet?
Before kick-off our model rated an Petrojet win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Makadi 27%, draw 28%, Petrojet 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrojet), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Petrojet)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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MSR2
More Egypt - 2nd Division
29 Jan 2024