General Caballero JLM 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
0.97/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.41
-17% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME General Caballero JLM
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
10.09.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-4 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
03.06.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
03.04.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
16.10.2022 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
15.08.2022 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 0-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME General Caballero JLM
1-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH General Caballero JLM vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

General Caballero JLM and Sportivo Ameliano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, General Caballero JLM had 59% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 41%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for General Caballero JLM and 1.33 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of General Caballero JLM vs Sportivo Ameliano?

General Caballero JLM 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for General Caballero JLM vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split General Caballero JLM 32%, draw 27%, Sportivo Ameliano 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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