Al Faisaly 1-0 Ohod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒15:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ohod EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.68/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.37
+16% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ohod
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.21 xG 1.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
407 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2023 Ohod Ohod 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
26.04.2023 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 2-0 Ohod Ohod SUUD1
15.11.2022 Ohod Ohod 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
07.02.2019 Ohod Ohod 4-1 HT 2-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
21.09.2018 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 0-0 Ohod Ohod SUUD
17.02.2018 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 1-0 Ohod Ohod SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
1-0
AWAY Ohod
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Ohod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly squeezed past Ohod 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Faisaly as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 34% of the ball to Ohod's 66%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Faisaly and 0.67 for Ohod.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Ohod?

Al Faisaly 1-0 Ohod in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Ohod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 49%, draw 27%, Ohod 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Faisaly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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