Stockton Town 1-0 Leek Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.0pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Leek Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.80/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.16
+3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
402 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockton Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leek Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10.08.2024 Leek Town Leek Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Stockton Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockton Town
1-0
AWAY Leek Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Leek Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town edged past Leek Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stockton Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stockton Town had 52% of the ball to Leek Town's 48%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Leek Town?

Stockton Town 1-0 Leek Town in the England - Non League Premier on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Leek Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 49%, draw 22%, Leek Town 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockton Town), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✓ BTTS No
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