Kolombiya U20 1-0 Ekvador U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolombiya U20 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-59% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 65%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolombiya U20
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ekvador U20
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.77 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2023 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 1-0 HT 1-0 Ekvador U20 Ekvador U20 SUD20
05.02.2019 Ekvador U20 Ekvador U20 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolombiya U20
1-0
AWAY Ekvador U20
2.07 xG 0.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
224 Passes 263
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kolombiya U20 vs Ekvador U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya U20 edged past Ekvador U20 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kolombiya U20 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kolombiya U20 had 49% of the ball to Ekvador U20's 51%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.07 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kolombiya U20's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kolombiya U20 and 0.50 for Ekvador U20.

What was the final score of Kolombiya U20 vs Ekvador U20?

Kolombiya U20 1-0 Ekvador U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolombiya U20 vs Ekvador U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolombiya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya U20 47%, draw 20%, Ekvador U20 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya U20), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kolombiya U20) ✓ BTTS No
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