Kun Khalifat 1-0 Kwara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.92
Draw
21%
2.88
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.51
No
69%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+4.6pp
21%
Draw
31%
-10.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
31%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.8pp
69%
BTTS No
64%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kun Khalifat EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwara United EU Bookmakers 24%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.47/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.23
+17% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kun Khalifat
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kwara United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.09.2025 Kwara United Kwara United 2-0 HT 1-0 Kun Khalifat NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kun Khalifat
1-0
AWAY Kwara United
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kun Khalifat vs Kwara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kun Khalifat nicked a narrow win over Kwara United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kun Khalifat as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.

On the day, Kun Khalifat had 50% of the ball to Kwara United's 50%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Kun Khalifat vs Kwara United?

Kun Khalifat 1-0 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kun Khalifat vs Kwara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kun Khalifat win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kun Khalifat 53%, draw 21%, Kwara United 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kun Khalifat), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kun Khalifat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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