Stjarnan 0-3 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.98/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/4.11
-23% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -42%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
523 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.32 xG 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
364 Passes 227
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
24.04.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-4 HT 2-3 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
20.09.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
20.06.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-1 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
27.09.2020 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-3 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
17.07.2020 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-1 HT 2-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
0-3
AWAY HK Kopavogur
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur cruised past Stjarnan 3-0 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stjarnan at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Stjarnan had 67% of the ball to HK Kopavogur's 33%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Stjarnan and 1.67 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs HK Kopavogur?

Stjarnan 0-3 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - League Cup on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 60%, draw 20%, HK Kopavogur 20%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stjarnan), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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