Paraguay (K) 3-2 El Salvador (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's, 29 Feb 2024

Paraguay (K)
3-2 HT 1-0
El Salvador (K)
📅29/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's – 2024

Paraguay (K) vs El Salvador (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-13.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.2pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.1pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paraguay (K) v El Salvador (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY El Salvador (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -58%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
– Crosses 7.0
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Paraguay (K) 3-2 El Salvador (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay (K)
3-2
AWAY El Salvador (K)
2.22 xG 1.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
183 Passes 204
59% Pass Accuracy 62%
12 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paraguay (K) vs El Salvador (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay (K) edged past El Salvador (K) 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paraguay (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paraguay (K) had 49% of the ball to El Salvador (K)'s 51%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 2.22 to 1.66.

What was the final score of Paraguay (K) vs El Salvador (K)?

Paraguay (K) 3-2 El Salvador (K) in the CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay (K) vs El Salvador (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paraguay (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paraguay (K) 57%, draw 22%, El Salvador (K) 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paraguay (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paraguay (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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