Feyenoord 2-1 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 29 Feb 2024

Feyenoord
2-1 HT 0-1
Groningen
📅29/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2023/2024

Feyenoord vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
24%
2.71
6+ Goals
14%
6.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
32.5
X/1
11%
3.4
X/2
6%
33.0
X/X
8%
10.5
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
7%
25.5
2/X
7%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-13.7pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.2pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Feyenoord v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 12%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.99/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/1.07
+5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
466 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.3 Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards –

Feyenoord vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Groningen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.08 xG 0.59
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
452 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
39 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.03.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
15.01.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-3 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
05.03.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
12.12.2021 Groningen Groningen 1-1 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
24.02.2021 Groningen Groningen 0-0 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
08.11.2020 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL

Feyenoord 2-1 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
2-1
AWAY Groningen
2.99 xG 0.24
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
592 Passes 167
87% Pass Accuracy 65%
50 Box Touches 5
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord squeezed past Groningen 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Feyenoord had 73% of the ball to Groningen's 27%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.99 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Feyenoord's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Feyenoord and 0.33 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Groningen?

Feyenoord 2-1 Groningen in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 61%, draw 21%, Groningen 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →