29/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
31%
Draw
26%
31%
Away Win
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Minaa Basra v Duhok — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Minaa Basra
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Duhok
EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
305 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
380 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Minaa Basra beat Duhok 2-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Al Minaa Basra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?
Al Minaa Basra 2-0 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Minaa Basra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 38%, draw 31%, Duhok 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Minaa Basra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Minaa Basra)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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29 Feb 2024