Ujpest 1-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.83
6+ Goals
12%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
17%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 49%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.25/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.68
+40% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +63%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.80 xG 1.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
304 Passes 206
71% Pass Accuracy 60%
18 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
19.08.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
16.04.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 3-2 HT 2-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
12.11.2022 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
26.08.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 2-3 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
19.04.2022 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MACK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
1-2
AWAY Paksi SE
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE nicked a narrow win over Ujpest 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ujpest had 46% of the ball to Paksi SE's 54%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ujpest and 2.67 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Paksi SE?

Ujpest 1-2 Paksi SE in the Hungary - Cup on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 27%, draw 24%, Paksi SE 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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