Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.51/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.51
+28% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
305 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
14 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
12.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
22.03.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-6 HT 2-3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
11.08.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
23.02.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-2 HT 2-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
15.09.2021 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
10.03.2021 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-3 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Mineros de Zacatecas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mineros de Zacatecas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 2.33 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 34%, draw 26%, Mineros de Zacatecas 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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