Export Sebaco vs Real Esteli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Export Sebaco v Real Esteli — Team-Based Signals
Export Sebaco vs Real Esteli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-2
Real Esteli
NİK
5-0
HT 3-0
Export Sebaco
NİK
3-0
HT 1-0
Real Esteli
NİK
0-1
HT 0-1
Export Sebaco
NİK
3-1
HT 1-1
Export Sebaco
NİK
0-0
HT 0-0
Real Esteli
NİK
Real Esteli nicked a narrow win over Export Sebaco 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Export Sebaco and 2.17 for Real Esteli.
What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Real Esteli?
Export Sebaco 2-3 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Real Esteli?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 24%, draw 25%, Real Esteli 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.