Alianza Atletico 3-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.60/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.61
+24% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
16.1 Crosses 14.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 1.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
180 Passes 279
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
21.05.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 3-2 HT 2-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
3-0
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
2.03 xG 0.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
228 Passes 219
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico cruised past Deportivo Garcilaso 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 50%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 2.03 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.50 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Alianza Atletico 3-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 46%, draw 26%, Deportivo Garcilaso 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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