Galatasaray 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 29 Feb 2024

Galatasaray
0-2 HT 0-1
Fatih Karagümrük
📅29/02/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Galatasaray vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.15
2-3 Goals
38%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.56
6+ Goals
15%
5.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.4
X/1
26%
3.68
X/2
8%
17.55
X/X
9%
8.49
2/1
7%
19.85
2/2
6%
12.2
2/X
8%
20.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.7pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.5pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galatasaray v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.85/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/2.52
+15% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards –

Galatasaray vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.56 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
429 Passes 314
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
23.04.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-3 HT 2-3 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
28.10.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
02.04.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
07.11.2021 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
10.04.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-1 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL

Galatasaray 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
0-2
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük saw off Galatasaray 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Galatasaray carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Galatasaray had 61% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 39%, shots finished 22-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Galatasaray and 0.83 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Galatasaray 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Cup on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 58%, draw 22%, Fatih Karagümrük 21%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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