Plaza Colonia 0-1 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
53%
Away Win
53%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.1pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +66%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plaza Colonia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-2 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
25.03.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 4-0 HT 2-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
28.08.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
24.07.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-2 HT 1-1 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
13.03.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-0 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
08.02.2021 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-2 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plaza Colonia
0-1
AWAY Defensor Sporting
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting edged past Plaza Colonia 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Plaza Colonia had 47% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 53%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Plaza Colonia and 1.83 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting?

Plaza Colonia 0-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay Cup on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 22%, draw 25%, Defensor Sporting 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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