Vasalund IF 3-1 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasalund IF
3-1
AWAY Karlbergs BK
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasalund IF vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasalund IF saw off Karlbergs BK 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vasalund IF as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vasalund IF had 66% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 34%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of Vasalund IF vs Karlbergs BK?

Vasalund IF 3-1 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasalund IF vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Vasalund IF 58%, draw 22%, Karlbergs BK 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasalund IF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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