Hertha Berlin II 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2024

Hertha Berlin II
1-1 HT 1-1
Lokomotive Leipzig
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Hertha Berlin II vs Lokomotive Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.5pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.9pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.8pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hertha Berlin II v Lokomotive Leipzig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.85/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.95
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Hertha Berlin II vs Lokomotive Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-3 HT 1-3 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
27.01.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 4-2 HT 3-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
30.04.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
05.11.2021 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
15.08.2020 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 3-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL

Hertha Berlin II 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin II
1-1
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
68% Ball Possession 32%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin II vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin II and Lokomotive Leipzig couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hertha Berlin II had 68% of the ball to Lokomotive Leipzig's 32%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hertha Berlin II and 1.83 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin II vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Hertha Berlin II 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin II vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin II 41%, draw 33%, Lokomotive Leipzig 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →