Adelaide United (K) 0-8 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 29 Mar 2024

Adelaide United (K)
0-8 HT 0-3
Newcastle Jets (K)
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.98
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.35
No
47%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
70%
-17.3pp
47%
BTTS No
30%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.5 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.90 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
304 Passes 245
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.12.2023 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
25.01.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
31.12.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 2-3 HT 1-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
12.01.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 0-8 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
0-8
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.37 xG 2.43
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 15
4 Corners 3
331 Passes 249
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) ran out comfortable winners over Adelaide United (K) 8-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle Jets (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 56% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 44%, shots finished 15-25, expected goals 1.37 to 2.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 2.00 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 0-8 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 26%, draw 23%, Newcastle Jets (K) 51%. The final score 0-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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