Gent 5-1 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.96
6+ Goals
13%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.11
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.55
X/1
15%
4.09
X/2
6%
9.73
X/X
10%
5.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.15
2/2
8%
6.95
2/X
5%
15.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.15 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.95/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.83
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.8 Crosses 13.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.10 xG 1.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
387 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 4-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
29.10.2023 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 3-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
03.06.2023 Gent Gent 3-1 HT 2-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
06.05.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
23.12.2022 Gent Gent 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
22.07.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-2 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
5-1
AWAY Standard Liege
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Gent vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent cruised past Standard Liege 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Gent had 57% of the ball to Standard Liege's 43%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gent and 1.50 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Gent vs Standard Liege?

Gent 5-1 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gent 54%, draw 24%, Standard Liege 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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