Tuzla City 1-5 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuzla City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.01/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.37
-18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuzla City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 6-2 HT 4-1 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSN
21.08.2023 Tuzla City Tuzla City 1-2 HT 0-2 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
23.04.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 1-0 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSN
30.09.2022 Tuzla City Tuzla City 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
10.08.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-5 HT 0-2 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSN
23.04.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-0 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tuzla City
1-5
AWAY FK Sarajevo
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tuzla City vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo cruised past Tuzla City 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; FK Sarajevo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tuzla City had 53% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 47%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tuzla City and 1.67 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Tuzla City vs FK Sarajevo?

Tuzla City 1-5 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuzla City vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tuzla City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tuzla City 40%, draw 27%, FK Sarajevo 33%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tuzla City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
29 Mar 2024
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