PSM Makassar 1-1 Borneo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
26%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.78
Over 2.5
34%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.76
No
65%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.0pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
52%
+13.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
48%
-13.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
53%
-17.9pp
65%
BTTS No
47%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.81/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.58
+31% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Borneo FC
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
183 Passes 305
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
25.09.2023 Borneo FC Borneo FC 1-0 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
23.12.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 1-1 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
11.02.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-1 HT 0-1 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
22.10.2021 Borneo FC Borneo FC 2-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
02.12.2019 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-2 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Borneo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar and Borneo FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Borneo FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for PSM Makassar and 1.40 for Borneo FC.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Borneo FC?

PSM Makassar 1-1 Borneo FC in the Indonesia League 1 on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Borneo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 42%, draw 32%, Borneo FC 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PSM Makassar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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