FC Kuressaare 3-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-10.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 60%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
08.07.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
20.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
29.04.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
29.10.2022 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
04.09.2022 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
3-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
41% Ball Possession 59%
24 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare ran out comfortable winners over Tallinna Kalev 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tallinna Kalev at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 41% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 59%, shots finished 24-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Kuressaare and 1.00 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Kuressaare 3-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tallinna Kalev win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 31%, draw 24%, Tallinna Kalev 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tallinna Kalev), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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