Adama City 2-1 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.27
No
69%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
23%
+10.9pp
22%
Draw
29%
-7.1pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-3.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.7pp
31%
BTTS Yes
40%
-8.7pp
69%
BTTS No
60%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adama City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 52%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+150% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adama City
2-1
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Adama City vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adama City edged past Kedus Giorgis 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kedus Giorgis at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adama City had 33% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 67%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Adama City vs Kedus Giorgis?

Adama City 2-1 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adama City vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Adama City 34%, draw 22%, Kedus Giorgis 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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