Dila Gori 3-1 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.27/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.35
-23% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Saburtalo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
24.10.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-0 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GURCK
20.08.2023 Saburtalo 1-2 HT 1-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
09.05.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
12.03.2023 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
06.11.2022 Saburtalo 0-2 HT 0-2 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
3-1
AWAY Saburtalo
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dila Gori vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori saw off Saburtalo 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dila Gori as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dila Gori had 67% of the ball to Saburtalo's 33%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dila Gori and 0.33 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Saburtalo?

Dila Gori 3-1 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 45%, draw 27%, Saburtalo 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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