Slaven Belupo 0-1 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.04/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.43
+6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.3 Crosses 17.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Osijek
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.02 xG 1.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
257 Passes 323
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Osijek Osijek 4-1 HT 2-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
30.09.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
22.07.2023 Osijek Osijek 6-1 HT 3-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
21.04.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
11.02.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
09.10.2022 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-4 HT 0-3 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
0-1
AWAY Osijek
0.81 xG 1.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
210 Passes 201
59% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek squeezed past Slaven Belupo 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Osijek made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 54% of the ball to Osijek's 46%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.81 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slaven Belupo and 2.50 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Osijek?

Slaven Belupo 0-1 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 36%, draw 27%, Osijek 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osijek), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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