Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.01
6+ Goals
10%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.78
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
15%
5.1
X/2
11%
5.6
X/X
17%
3.7
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.31
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.28/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.73
+61% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
15.0 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JPK
28.08.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-1 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
21.04.2021 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-2 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
11.11.2020 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
29.08.2020 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-0 HT 2-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
26.07.2015 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
2-2
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.50 xG 0.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
371 Passes 182
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy and Kyoto Sanga shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 62% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 38%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.50 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.33 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga?

Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 39%, draw 28%, Kyoto Sanga 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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