Glentoran FC 1-3 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 29 Mar 2024

Glentoran FC
1-3 HT 0-1
Linfield FC
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
North Ireland - Cup – 2023/2024

Glentoran FC vs Linfield FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.15
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.11
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
13.35
X/1
14%
5.84
X/2
10%
5.15
X/X
9%
4.48
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
16%
3.44
2/X
7%
13.2
Value flag · 1/X at 13.35 — our 14% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Glentoran FC v Linfield FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.84/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.08
+24% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.9

Glentoran FC vs Linfield FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Linfield FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
01.12.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
07.11.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
06.10.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
12.04.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
14.02.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL

Glentoran FC 1-3 Linfield FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Glentoran FC
1-3
AWAY Linfield FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC saw off Glentoran FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Linfield FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Glentoran FC had 47% of the ball to Linfield FC's 53%, shots finished 5-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Glentoran FC and 1.17 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Linfield FC?

Glentoran FC 1-3 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 37%, draw 30%, Linfield FC 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Glentoran FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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