FA Siauliai II 1-2 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
49%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.7pp
29%
Draw
19%
+9.8pp
50%
Away Win
67%
-17.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.3pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 71%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.55/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/2.11
+53% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -56%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
55% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
02.04.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-1 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
21.10.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-1 HT 2-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
19.06.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai II
1-2
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda edged past FA Siauliai II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, FA Siauliai II had 46% of the ball to Neptüna Klaipeda's 54%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FA Siauliai II and 2.25 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

FA Siauliai II 1-2 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 22%, draw 29%, Neptüna Klaipeda 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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