Monarcas Morelia vs Venados Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monarcas Morelia v Venados — Team-Based Signals
Monarcas Morelia vs Venados Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Venados
MEK2
2-1
HT 1-1
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
1-0
HT 0-0
Venados
MEK2
0-2
HT 0-1
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
2-2
HT 0-1
Venados
MEK2
0-1
HT 0-1
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
Venados edged past Monarcas Morelia 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Venados made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 0.83 for Venados.
What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Venados?
Monarcas Morelia 3-4 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Venados?
Before kick-off our model rated an Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 36%, draw 27%, Venados 37%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.