Sepsi 1-1 CFR Cluj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
32%
Away Win
44%
-11.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.26/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.80
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CFR Cluj
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 2-1 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
05.10.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 3-0 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
20.05.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-2 HT 1-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
26.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 3-0 HT 2-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROK
15.04.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 2-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
06.03.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 2-2 HT 1-2 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
1-1
AWAY CFR Cluj
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs CFR Cluj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi and CFR Cluj shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sepsi had 47% of the ball to CFR Cluj's 53%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CFR Cluj led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sepsi and 1.67 for CFR Cluj.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs CFR Cluj?

Sepsi 1-1 CFR Cluj in the Romania - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs CFR Cluj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 38%, draw 30%, CFR Cluj 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sepsi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepsi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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