Dinamo Moscow 1-4 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

Dinamo Moscow
1-4 HT 0-3
Rostov
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Dinamo Moscow vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.82
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.76
X/2
10%
6.84
X/X
13%
5.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.15
2/2
11%
4.66
2/X
8%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dinamo Moscow v Rostov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.54/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.28
-10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
19.5 Crosses 19.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Dinamo Moscow vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rostov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 Passes 321
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-2 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
06.11.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
18.10.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
31.08.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
17.07.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
20.03.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS

Dinamo Moscow 1-4 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
1-4
AWAY Rostov
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
340 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov swept aside Dinamo Moscow 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Moscow at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 55% of the ball to Rostov's 45%, shots finished 15-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.33 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Rostov?

Dinamo Moscow 1-4 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 43%, draw 28%, Rostov 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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