Charlotte Independence 2-1 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
2-1
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.98 xG 1.03
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
317 Passes 543
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 41
13 Crosses 38
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence nicked a narrow win over Spokane Velocity 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charlotte Independence as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Charlotte Independence had 39% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 61%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.98 to 1.03.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity?

Charlotte Independence 2-1 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 45%, draw 23%, Spokane Velocity 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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