Zamora 1-2 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
17%
+12.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.2pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.04/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.52
-6% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
17.5 Crosses 11.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Angostura FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
232 Passes 276
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.06.2023 Zamora Zamora 3-2 HT 0-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
20.05.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
1-2
AWAY Angostura FC
1.20 xG 1.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
343 Passes 307
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angostura FC squeezed past Zamora 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zamora at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamora had 54% of the ball to Angostura FC's 46%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.20 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zamora and 2.00 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Angostura FC?

Zamora 1-2 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zamora 44%, draw 27%, Angostura FC 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zamora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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