IFK Skövde 0-1 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Skövde EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -50%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Skövde
0-1
AWAY AFC Malmö
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IFK Skövde vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö squeezed past IFK Skövde 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Malmö as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, IFK Skövde had 40% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 60%, shots finished 5-15.

What was the final score of IFK Skövde vs AFC Malmö?

IFK Skövde 0-1 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Skövde vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IFK Skövde 30%, draw 25%, AFC Malmö 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Malmö) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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