Atletico Madrid (K) 3-0 Valencia (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.34
Draw
33%
4.49
Away
33%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
70%
-36.3pp
33%
Draw
19%
+14.6pp
33%
Away Win
12%
+21.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.86/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.84
-33% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
19.4 Crosses 14.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Valencia (K)
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.13 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
379 Passes 262
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
30.03.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
07.01.2024 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) 1-6 HT 1-4 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
3-0
AWAY Valencia (K)
0.66 xG 0.36
74% Ball Possession 26%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
494 Passes 110
81% Pass Accuracy 54%
26 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Valencia (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) swept aside Valencia (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 74% of the ball to Valencia (K)'s 26%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.66 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Atletico Madrid (K) and 0.33 for Valencia (K).

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 3-0 Valencia (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Valencia (K) 33%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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