Ittihad Khemisset 0-1 Moghreb Tetouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.65
Draw
26%
2.66
Away
57%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.38
Over 2.5
51%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.4
No
49%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
1.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
6.42
6+ Goals
13%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Moghreb Tetouan win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
19%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
34%
-7.9pp
56%
Away Win
47%
+9.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
69%
-19.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
31%
+19.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
38%
+13.8pp
49%
BTTS No
62%
-13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ittihad Khemisset EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
164 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ittihad Khemisset
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
04.01.2015 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 Ittihad Khemisset Ittihad Khemisset FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ittihad Khemisset
0-1
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ittihad Khemisset vs Moghreb Tetouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moghreb Tetouan nicked a narrow win over Ittihad Khemisset 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Moghreb Tetouan as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ittihad Khemisset had 45% of the ball to Moghreb Tetouan's 55%, shots finished 16-13.

What was the final score of Ittihad Khemisset vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Ittihad Khemisset 0-1 Moghreb Tetouan in the Morocco - Cup on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ittihad Khemisset vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moghreb Tetouan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ittihad Khemisset 17%, draw 26%, Moghreb Tetouan 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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