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Montpellier (K) vs Paris FC (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montpellier (K) v Paris FC (K) — Team-Based Signals
Montpellier (K) vs Paris FC (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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HT 0-3
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Paris FC (K)
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Montpellier (K) 2-0 Paris FC (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Montpellier (K) beat Paris FC (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Paris FC (K) carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Montpellier (K) had 35% of the ball to Paris FC (K)'s 65%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.91 to 1.80 — on chances, Paris FC (K) could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paris FC (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montpellier (K) and 3.67 for Paris FC (K).
What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Paris FC (K)?
Montpellier (K) 2-0 Paris FC (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Paris FC (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 21%, draw 20%, Paris FC (K) 59%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.