Al Arabi 1-1 Al Salmiyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 30% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.3pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.0pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 17%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
2.57/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.08
+31% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Salmiyah
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
11.05.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
30.03.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
21.12.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
25.08.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
28.05.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 3-6 HT 1-5 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Salmiyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi and Al Salmiyah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Arabi and 1.17 for Al Salmiyah.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Salmiyah?

Al Arabi 1-1 Al Salmiyah in the Kuwait - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Salmiyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 52%, draw 28%, Al Salmiyah 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Arabi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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