Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1 KS Wieczysta Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.83
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.79 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY KS Wieczysta Krakow EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
186 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0W-1D-0L
AWAY KS Wieczysta Krakow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 KS Wieczysta Krakow KS Wieczysta Krakow 1-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-1
AWAY KS Wieczysta Krakow
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs KS Wieczysta Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki nicked a narrow win over KS Wieczysta Krakow 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 43% of the ball to KS Wieczysta Krakow's 57%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs KS Wieczysta Krakow?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1 KS Wieczysta Krakow in the Poland - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs KS Wieczysta Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an KS Wieczysta Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 35%, draw 26%, KS Wieczysta Krakow 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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