Yeni Malatyaspor 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
16.01
Draw
19%
8.78
Away
66%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
6%
+8.7pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 97%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+12% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 84%
6.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.6 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.72
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 346
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 HT 0-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor TSL
17.09.2021 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 3-4 HT 3-2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
29.01.2021 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
12.09.2020 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-0 HT 1-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor TSL
01.04.2015 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-1 HT 0-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor S2-B
19.11.2014 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor
0-2
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
0.33 xG 2.57
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
202 Passes 415
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
5 Box Touches 38
4 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yeni Malatyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük beat Yeni Malatyaspor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yeni Malatyaspor had 36% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 64%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.33 to 2.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yeni Malatyaspor and 1.33 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Yeni Malatyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Yeni Malatyaspor 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Yeni Malatyaspor 15%, draw 19%, Fatih Karagümrük 67%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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